Market passport
Justin Jefferson ADP
Current published draft prices by scoring format and native platform queue. Every figure below names the market it came from; no league-specific model is mixed in.
Data updated 2026-09-03 · 6 of 6 markets covered
Completed seasons
Historical performance
Regular-season production and fantasy finishes under Standard, Half-PPR, and PPR scoring. Overall finish compares the scored player pool; Position finish compares players at the same position.
- Standard 2025
- 117.5
- Half-PPR 2025
- 159.5
- PPR 2025
- 201.5
- Standard
- Half-PPR
- PPR
- Standard 2025
- #30
- Half-PPR 2025
- #25
- PPR 2025
- #21
- Standard
- Half-PPR
- PPR
| Season | Team | Games | Production | Standard | Half-PPR | PPR | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | PPG | OVR | POS | Points | PPG | OVR | POS | Points | PPG | OVR | POS | ||||
| 2025 | MIN | 17 | 2 car · 7 rush yd · 0 rush TD · 84 rec/141 tgt · 1048 rec yd · 2 rec TD | 117.5 | 6.9 | #99 | #30 | 159.5 | 9.4 | #77 | #25 | 201.5 | 11.9 | #65 | #21 |
| 2024 | MIN | 17 | 1 car · 3 rush yd · 0 rush TD · 103 rec/154 tgt · 1533 rec yd · 10 rec TD | 214.5 | 12.6 | #30 | #2 | 266.0 | 15.6 | #21 | #2 | 317.5 | 18.7 | #12 | #2 |
| 2023 | MIN | 10 | 1 car · -12 rush yd · 0 rush TD · 68 rec/100 tgt · 1074 rec yd · 5 rec TD | 134.2 | 13.4 | #86 | #26 | 168.2 | 16.8 | #79 | #28 | 202.2 | 20.2 | #74 | #33 |
| 2022 | MIN | 17 | 4 car · 24 rush yd · 1 rush TD · 128 rec/184 tgt · 1809 rec yd · 8 rec TD | 240.7 | 14.2 | #18 | #1 | 304.7 | 17.9 | #7 | #1 | 368.7 | 21.7 | #5 | #1 |
| 2021 | MIN | 17 | 6 car · 14 rush yd · 0 rush TD · 108 rec/167 tgt · 1616 rec yd · 10 rec TD | 222.4 | 13.1 | #27 | #4 | 276.4 | 16.3 | #17 | #4 | 330.4 | 19.4 | #11 | #4 |
Data: nflverse regular-season aggregates, licensed under CC-BY-4.0. Half-PPR equals Standard points plus 0.5 per reception. Tied point totals share the same finish.
Observed near market
When Justin Jefferson was still there
Only turns within 112-pick round of this player’s stored PPR ADP qualify. Rates below 5% and above 95% are omitted because vanishing odds and near-certainty are not useful decisions. A missing turn is not treated as zero.
- Drafts simulated
- 5,000
- Board as of
- 2026-08-27
- Published
- 2026-08-27
- League
- 12-team PPR snake draft, full PPR, QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/TE/FLEX/K/DST and a six-man bench
- Method
- sim-agg-2 · engine bot-2026-08-18
Draft slot 12 · 2.01
51.2%
2,562 of 5,000 drafts · pick 13
See every pick from slot 12Draft slot 11 · 2.02
33.6%
1,682 of 5,000 drafts · pick 14
See every pick from slot 11Draft slot 10 · 2.03
19.2%
962 of 5,000 drafts · pick 15
See every pick from slot 10Draft slot 9 · 2.04
10.8%
539 of 5,000 drafts · pick 16
See every pick from slot 9Draft slot 8 · 2.05
5.8%
289 of 5,000 drafts · pick 17
See every pick from slot 8Where this engine actually selected Justin Jefferson
- Slot 12 · pick 1220.5%
- Slot 12 · pick 1317.6%
- Slot 11 · pick 1414.4%
- Slot 11 · pick 1113.4%
Observed history
Market movement
| League type | Platform | First | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | Sleeper | 18.52026-08-05 | 18.52026-09-03 | 0.0 |
| Half-PPR | Sleeper | 11.42026-08-05 | 12.32026-09-03 | +0.9 |
| Half-PPR | Yahoo | 12.22026-08-05 | 13.22026-09-03 | +1.0 |
| PPR | ESPN | 12.02026-08-05 | 12.72026-09-03 | +0.7 |
| PPR | Sleeper | 12.42026-08-05 | 11.02026-09-03 | -1.4 |
| Superflex | Sleeper | 17.62026-08-05 | 15.32026-09-03 | -2.3 |
A positive change means Justin Jefferson is now drafted later—and is therefore cheaper—than when the market was first observed in that league type.
Observable differences
Value context
- ESPN drafts Justin Jefferson later by 1.7 picks than Sleeper in PPR.
- Yahoo drafts Justin Jefferson later by 0.9 picks than Sleeper in Half-PPR.
These are published queue differences, not a verdict about the player. Your roster and scoring settings determine whether waiting is sensible.
Same-market neighbours
Drafted nearby
Standard
- Jeremiyah Love15.2
- Amon-Ra St. Brown16.8
- Chase Brown17.8
- Drake London19.1
- Josh Jacobs20.2
- Trey McBride21.7
Half-PPR
- James Cook9.4
- Saquon Barkley10.9
- CeeDee Lamb11.6
- De'Von Achane13.2
- Ashton Jeanty14.1
- Omarion Hampton15.2
PPR
- Amon-Ra St. Brown7.4
- James Cook9.4
- CeeDee Lamb10.7
- Saquon Barkley12.9
- De'Von Achane13.7
- Ashton Jeanty14.9
Superflex
- Drake Maye12.6
- CeeDee Lamb13.0
- Joe Burrow14.5
- De'Von Achane15.3
- Saquon Barkley17.4
- Ashton Jeanty18.1
Put the market into a real room
Open an NFL mock, choose your scoring and roster settings, and see how the board changes as eleven strategy-driven managers make picks.
Read the simulation-backed strategy reports or browse all published draft slots.