Market passport
Justin Herbert ADP
Current published draft prices by scoring format and native platform queue. Every figure below names the market it came from; no league-specific model is mixed in.
Data updated 2026-09-03 · 6 of 6 markets covered
Completed seasons
Historical performance
Regular-season production and fantasy finishes under Standard, Half-PPR, and PPR scoring. Overall finish compares the scored player pool; Position finish compares players at the same position.
- Standard 2025
- 286.9
- Half-PPR 2025
- 286.9
- PPR 2025
- 286.9
- Standard
- Half-PPR
- PPR
- Standard 2025
- #10
- Half-PPR 2025
- #10
- PPR 2025
- #10
- Standard
- Half-PPR
- PPR
| Season | Team | Games | Production | Standard | Half-PPR | PPR | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | PPG | OVR | POS | Points | PPG | OVR | POS | Points | PPG | OVR | POS | ||||
| 2025 | LAC | 16 | 3727 pass yd · 26 pass TD · 13 INT · 498 rush yd · 2 rush TD | 286.9 | 17.9 | #14 | #10 | 286.9 | 17.9 | #17 | #10 | 286.9 | 17.9 | #22 | #10 |
| 2024 | LAC | 17 | 3870 pass yd · 23 pass TD · 3 INT · 306 rush yd · 2 rush TD | 285.4 | 16.8 | #14 | #11 | 285.4 | 16.8 | #16 | #11 | 285.4 | 16.8 | #20 | #11 |
| 2023 | LAC | 13 | 3134 pass yd · 20 pass TD · 7 INT · 228 rush yd · 3 rush TD | 233.2 | 17.9 | #21 | #17 | 233.7 | 18.0 | #31 | #17 | 234.2 | 18.0 | #43 | #17 |
| 2022 | LAC | 17 | 4739 pass yd · 25 pass TD · 10 INT · 147 rush yd · 0 rush TD | 279.3 | 16.4 | #11 | #11 | 280.3 | 16.5 | #18 | #11 | 281.3 | 16.5 | #24 | #11 |
| 2021 | LAC | 17 | 5014 pass yd · 38 pass TD · 15 INT · 302 rush yd · 3 rush TD | 380.8 | 22.4 | #2 | #2 | 380.8 | 22.4 | #2 | #2 | 380.8 | 22.4 | #3 | #2 |
Data: nflverse regular-season aggregates, licensed under CC-BY-4.0. Half-PPR equals Standard points plus 0.5 per reception. Tied point totals share the same finish.
Observed near market
When Justin Herbert was still there
Only turns within 112-pick round of this player’s stored PPR ADP qualify. Rates below 5% and above 95% are omitted because vanishing odds and near-certainty are not useful decisions. A missing turn is not treated as zero.
- Drafts simulated
- 5,000
- Board as of
- 2026-08-27
- Published
- 2026-08-27
- League
- 12-team PPR snake draft, full PPR, QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/TE/FLEX/K/DST and a six-man bench
- Method
- sim-agg-2 · engine bot-2026-08-18
Draft slot 11 · 8.02
6.0%
302 of 5,000 drafts · pick 86
See every pick from slot 11Where this engine actually selected Justin Herbert
- Slot 4 · pick 698.7%
- Slot 5 · pick 688.1%
- Slot 3 · pick 707.5%
- Slot 6 · pick 677.4%
Observed history
Market movement
| League type | Platform | First | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | Sleeper | 86.32026-08-05 | 86.32026-09-03 | 0.0 |
| Half-PPR | Sleeper | 85.72026-08-05 | 79.92026-09-03 | -5.8 |
| Half-PPR | Yahoo | 66.62026-08-05 | 70.32026-09-03 | +3.7 |
| PPR | ESPN | 108.52026-08-05 | 87.02026-09-03 | -21.5 |
| PPR | Sleeper | 83.72026-08-05 | 82.42026-09-03 | -1.3 |
| Superflex | Sleeper | 24.92026-08-05 | 31.62026-09-03 | +6.7 |
A positive change means Justin Herbert is now drafted later—and is therefore cheaper—than when the market was first observed in that league type.
Observable differences
Value context
- ESPN drafts Justin Herbert later by 4.6 picks than Sleeper in PPR.
- Yahoo drafts Justin Herbert earlier by 9.6 picks than Sleeper in Half-PPR.
These are published queue differences, not a verdict about the player. Your roster and scoring settings determine whether waiting is sensible.
Same-market neighbours
Drafted nearby
Standard
- Jaxson Dart83.6
- Aaron Jones84.7
- Kenny Gainwell86.1
- Chris Godwin88.4
- Tyler Allgeier89.4
- Caleb Williams91.7
Half-PPR
- DK Metcalf77.7
- Tony Pollard78.2
- Chuba Hubbard79.9
- Courtland Sutton81.1
- RJ Harvey82.6
- Rico Dowdle83.8
PPR
- RJ Harvey79.2
- Courtland Sutton79.4
- Rhamondre Stevenson81.4
- George Kittle83.2
- Tony Pollard84.1
- Michael Wilson85.7
Superflex
- Derrick Henry29.6
- Nico Collins30.3
- George Pickens31.2
- Jeremiyah Love33.8
- Malik Nabers34.4
- Chris Olave35.1
Put the market into a real room
Open an NFL mock, choose your scoring and roster settings, and see how the board changes as eleven strategy-driven managers make picks.
Read the simulation-backed strategy reports or browse all published draft slots.